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Online Investing AI M6

What it trades: Stocks Strategies: Technical analysis

Hypothetical Monthly Results

 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
2008                            +5.9%(3%)(0.1%)(3.5%)(4.2%)  -    -    -  
2009  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  +0.1%  -    -  
2010  -    -    -    -    -    -    -  (0.1%)  -                    

 
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Subscription Terms

30-day free trial, then $199 per month (Details)

There is a free trial period of 30 days before you are charged. You may cancel at any time before this (we send you an email at least a day before, to remind you, so there are no surprises.)

Then, after the trial, you will be charged $199 per month. (That is, we will charge you every 30 days - not when the month name on the calendar changes. So it's okay to sign up towards the end of a calendar month. You'll still get a full 30 days.)



Strategy Description 


www.OnlineInvestingAI.com Online Investing AI's M6 system provides a good return, low risk, and smooth equity curve. It buys and sells stocks on a daily basis. The system updates after each trading day, and signals are sent before midnight after each trading day. Trades can be entered manually before market opens.
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- This text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that text above is an accurate Strategy Description. (Contact System Developer)




Recently Closed Trades

Details

Opened ET B/S # Symbol   Price Closed Price Risk P/L
9/16/08 9:31 BUY 25 CWEI 65.81 9/18 14:33 63.66 Low ($54)
9/15/08 9:32 BUY 42 CHRW C.H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE 54.56 9/17 10:36 52.75 Low ($76)
9/11/08 9:30 BUY 25 CWEI 71.00 9/11 9:59 68.31 Low ($67)
9/5/08 9:33 SELL 42 CHRW C.H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE 50.38 9/10 13:23 52.92 Low ($107)
9/3/08 9:32 BUY 25 CWEI 75.87 9/8 12:36 72.67 Low ($80)
8/14/08 9:32 BUY 42 CHRW C.H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE 51.01 9/4 9:32 51.28 Low $11
8/28/08 9:30 BUY 25 CWEI 85.97 8/28 11:40 80.19 Low ($145)
6/24/08 9:30 BUY 84 ESRX EXPRESS SCRIPTS INC 32.03 8/21 10:10 36.42 Low $370
8/19/08 9:31 BUY 25 CWEI 78.14 8/19 9:32 77.81 n/a ($8)
8/13/08 9:33 BUY 25 CWEI 81.20 8/18 15:42 77.82 Low ($85)
8/6/08 9:32 SELL 42 CHRW C.H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE 50.85 8/14 9:32 51.01 Low ($7)
8/8/08 9:31 BUY 25 CWEI 81.23 8/8 9:48 78.65 Low ($65)
7/28/08 9:36 BUY 25 CWEI 90.58 8/5 9:39 87.07 Low ($88)
7/28/08 9:36 BUY 42 CHRW C.H. ROBINSON WORLDWIDE 49.36 8/1 9:52 47.32 Low ($86)
7/21/08 9:30 BUY 25 CWEI 91.09 7/23 15:15 85.97 Low ($128)

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Statistics

Analytics  
System has been audited since5/14/2008 (28 months ago)
Trades28
# Profitable6 (21.4%)
# months tracked29
Profitable months2 (6.9%)
Avg trade duration9.3 days
Annual return (compounded)-2.2%
Average win$270
Average loss$97
Profit factor0.8:1
Max peak-to-valley drawdown (historical)14.93%
drawdown periodJune 10, 2008 to Aug 25, 2010
Correlation w/ S&P-0.012
Sharpe ratio-0.534
C2Realism Factor 0%
Keep after worst-case slippage 5.3%
Probabilities of future account loss  
Chance of 10% account loss37.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss0.0%
Average Profit to Drawdown (APD)-0.20
Average P/L per unit traded($0.74)
Sum of dividends and cash expir. in model account$8


System Description



Money talks.

Many automated trading systems are simply optimized. What that means is that they take a look at the past, and build a system that would have worked. What's the key phrase here? in the past.

How is our system different?

Our system is different because we do not merely optimize on the past data. We use the latest proprietary Artificial Intelligence technology. We have built a system that would have performed well in the past, and then test it on data that the system has never seen before. This is known as walk-forward testing. This is a very important distinction to make. Since the system works on data that it has never seen before, there is a high probability that it will work in the future.

This is not a guarantee. There are no guarantees in life, and nearly every person who has made a transaction on a "sure thing" stock move has lived to regret it. What we are offering is a high probability that the system will continue working in the future. We cannot know the future, but we can create a system that is likely to succeed.

Show me the money!

Here are the results of a portfolio that the system would have traded, starting with $100,000. The duration is from February 2005 to April 2008, which is 3 years and 2 months. The average annual compound return is 30%. This means that the account would double approximately every 2 1/2 years. The maximum drawdown is 10%.

Smooth is good.

Notice that the graph above is a fairly smooth line, generally going up. The lowest drop is 10%. The technical term for this is smooth equity curve. The system has been designed to gradually go up, with no big drops? Why is this important? Because big drops cause massive pain and stress for traders and investors. When the Nasdaq tanked in 2000, millions of people lost most of their life savings because it went down so much. Our system is designed so that never happens.

Low risk.

Between 2/10/2006 to 10/10/2006, we had our largest drop of approximately 10%. This is a critical number because we know that if the system drops more than 10%, then something has changed. If my account went much below 10%, I would pull the plug. And if this system goes down 15%, I will pull the plug! That's why our system has much lower risk than any buy and hold strategy, and any index fund.

Low correlation with market.

This system trades stocks listed on the Nasdaq. The Nasdaq went down from 2,800 to 2,200 from 10/10/2007 to 4/10/2008. That is a drop of over 21%! However, our system went up by 11% over the same period! How would you feel if your portfolio is going up while everyone else is losing money?

Built-in protection: stop loss

We always use a stop loss to provides greater safety and more consistent returns. A stop loss ordered is entered with each new position, and updated daily.

Want more information? Go to www.OnlineInvestingAI.com

- This System Description text was submitted by the creator of this strategy. Collective2 verifies only trading signals and hypothetical trading results. We have not verified that this text above is an accurate system description.